[SARC] FW: Hazardous Weather Outlook

[Robert Lawrence]

"
--
Thanks,

Robert Lawrence
Opp Cablevision Internet Services
http://www.oppcatv.com/


----- Original Message -----
From:<lawrencer at oppcatv.com>
To:<weather at oppcatv.com>
Cc:
Date: Monday, March 3 2008 06:37 AM
Subject: Hazardous Weather Outlook
>From the South Alabama SkyNet (http://www.alawx.com)
FLUS44 KMOB 031227 AAA
HWOMOB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
625 AM CST MON MAR 3 2008

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-MSZ067-075-076-078-
079-041200-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
625 AM CST MON MAR 3 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST 
MISSISSIPPI...SOUTH ALABAMA...THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND 
THE ADJACENT GULF COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA. 

DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER OVER INTERIOR SECTIONS OF 
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER OVER 
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE FOR TONIGHT. 

LOW PRESSURE CURRENTLY DEVELOPING OVER WESTERN TEXAS IS FORECAST BY 
ALL MODELS TO MOVE NORTHEAST TO NORTHERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN 
ARKANSAS BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON...THEN ON ACROSS NORTHERN 
MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA TONIGHT. AS THIS OCCURS...AN INCREASING 
SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW WILL DEVELOP OVER THE AREA...WITH 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS LIKELY REACHING 15 TO 25 MPH LATE TODAY AND 
TONIGHT. SOME GUSTS OF 30 TO 35 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY 
FOR THE COASTAL ZONES...AND MAINLY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON AND THIS 
EVENING AS STRONGER WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH A STRONG LOW LEVEL JET 
MOVE ACROSS THE REGION. THIS STRONG LOW LEVEL JET...COMBINED WITH 
INCREASED INSTABILITY AND INCREASED SHEAR LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND 
THIS EVENING...WILL RESULT IN THE THE POTENTIAL OF SEVERE WEATHER 
ACROSS THE AREA BEGINNING LATE THIS AFTERNOON...AND ESPECIALLY 
TONIGHT. 

LOOK FOR THE POTENTIAL OF SCATTERED SUPERCELL STORMS WITH ISOLATED 
TORNADOES POSSIBLE OVER THE WESTERN ZONES...PRIMARILY MISSISSIPPI 
AND EXTREME WESTERN ALABAMA BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE 
EARLY EVENING IN ADVANCE OF THE SQUALL LINE THAT WILL BE JUST AHEAD 
OF THE APPROACHING FRONTAL BOUNDARY. EXPECT THE SQUALL LINE TO MOVE 
ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI ZONES DURING THE LATE EVENING HOURS...BETWEEN 
9 PM AND MIDNIGHT...THEN INTO AND ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE 
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AFTER MIDNIGHT...FINALLY EXITING THE 
REGION BETWEEN 6 AM 9 AM TUESDAY MORNING. AS THIS SQUALL LINE 
APPROACHES...DIRECTIONAL SHEAR DECREASES SOMEWHAT...BUT STRONG SPEED 
SHEAR WILL CONTINUE OVER THE AREA. AS A RESULT...THE SQUALL LINE 
WILL LIKELY PRODUCE WIDESPREAD AND POSSIBLY SIGNIFICANT WIND DAMAGE 
ALONG BOWING SEGMENTS. ISOLATED TORNADOES ALONG THE LINE ALSO CANNOT 
BE RULED OUT. 

THE INCREASED WINDS IN ADVANCE OF THE APPROACHING SYSTEM WILL RESULT 
IN BUILDING SEAS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...MAKING FOR HAZARDOUS 
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT OPERATORS...AND A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS 
IN EFFECT. THE STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL ALSO BRING A HIGH RISK OF 
DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ALONG AREA BEACHES TODAY AND TONIGHT. A WIND 
ADVISORY IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR INLAND AREAS. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN 
MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE 
EXTRA CAUTION.


DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. 

SOME LINGERING AFFECTS OF THE SYSTEM THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE 
REGION ON DAY ONE CONTINUE THROUGH AROUND 9 AM TUESDAY...BUT THE 
STRONGER STORMS WILL MOVE EAST OF THE AREA BY LATE MORNING. IN THE 
WAKE OF THE SYSTEM...A STRONG WEST TO NORTHWEST WIND FLOW AND HIGH 
SEAS WILL MAINTAINS HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT THROUGH 
EARLY WEDNESDAY. 

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL SHOULD BE ALERT 
FOR POSSIBLE ACTIVATION BEGINNING LATE TODAY AND CONTINUING 
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY DURING THE EVENING HOURS.    

$$




This weather bulletin was brought to you by South Alabama SkyNet at www.alawx.com
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